《经济学家》交流
|
ponpon
|
[1楼]
大 中
小 发表于 2007-10-11 20:41:18 只看该作者
![]()
《经济学家》交流Hillary Clinton
Ready to run the movie again? Oct 4th 2007 | WASHINGTON, DC From The Economist print edition The betting is that the Clintons will follow the Bushes back into the White HouseTHE September 29th issue of the National Journal, an inside-the-Beltway magazine, contains a striking news item. Hillary Clinton has quietly signed a deal with the University of Illinois to house her presidential library. The university will put up $15m to help finance the construction and operation of the huge building on its Urbana-Champaign campus, close to where Hillary Rodham was born. "Inside the Beltway" is a phrase used to characterize parts of the real or imagined American political system. It refers to the Capital Beltway (Interstate 495), a beltway that encircles Washington, D.C., and is meant to invoke matters that are important primarily within the offices of the Federal government, its contractors, lobbyists, and the media which cover them. The phrase is often pejorative, a dismissive or insulting way to say "it's merely politics, not important," carrying the implication that the only people who care are paid by or otherwise dependent upon the federal government. Alternatively, it implies ignorance or indifference with regard to the way things work in what the user of the term regards as the real world, i.e. the world outside the beltway. This phrase is often used to mean the rough equivalent of possessing inside knowledge about American governance and the workings of American representative democracy, or having access to corridors of political power. Ironically, since many Americans might not be aware that Washington, D.C. is surrounded by an actual beltway, even the use of the term connotes Washington insider status. This was, of course, a joke—but it contains a serious point. The political establishment is betting heavily that Hillary Clinton will become America's next president. And it has reason. Mrs Clinton is way out in front of the Democratic field. The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll puts her 33 points ahead of Barack Obama and 40 points ahead of John Edwards. She raised $22m in the last quarter—more than Mr Obama at $19m and much more than Mr Edwards at $7m. The once-mighty Republican Party is a shadow of its former self, divided not only about who should lead it but also about where it should go. Intrade, a pay-to-play prediction market, shows a 36% chance of the Republicans holding the White House alongside a 12% chance of them taking the House and a 7% chance they might take the Senate. In politics, Pay to Play is a practice in which public officials award lucrative no-bid government contracts and grant other favors to individuals, businesses, and organizations in exchange for large political contributions. Incumbent candidates and their political organizations are typically the greatest beneficiaries of pay-to-play. Many seeking to ban or restrict the practice define pay-to-play as legalized corruption. The practice also extends, especially in the wake of the McCain-Feingold Bill, to Party Organizations, such as County and State Democratic or Republican Committees. This manner of pay-to-play utilizes "soft-money," or money which is donated to an intermediary with a higher contribution limit, which in turn donates money to individual candidates or campaign committees. The practice has come under scrutiny in many states, and is, for the most part, left as a state issue rather than a federal one. Many agencies have been created to regulate and control campaign contributions. Furthermore, many third-party government "watchdog" groups have formed to monitor campaign donations and make them more transparent. Politicos invariably hedge all this around with qualifications. Howard Dean was well ahead of the Democratic field at this stage of the electoral cycle in 2004. Mr Obama might make a breakthrough in Iowa (where he is nipping Mrs Clinton's heels) and gain enough momentum to win the nomination. Mrs Clinton might stumble and fall. The American electorate might balk at the idea of handing both the White House and Capitol Hill to a single party and go for a Republican president. All possible, of course; but all less likely by the day. Mrs Clinton is not only the front-runner. She is well on the way to becoming a prohibitive front-runner.
1. Prohibiting; forbidding: 2. So high or burdensome as to discourage purchase or use: 3. So likely to win as to discourage competition: the prohibitive favorite to win the nomination. This is an extraordinary situation, for all sorts of reasons. The race ought to be wide open: it is the first time that neither party has an incumbent, in the form of a vice-president, since 1928. The rise of the netroots has transferred political power from the Washington establishment to smaller donors. And America is in an anti-establishment mood: the Democratic Congress has even lower approval ratings, at about 27%, than George Bush. Yet Mrs Clinton has all the advantages of an incumbent, from a brand name to an established political machine, without many of the disadvantages. :73:/ Netroots is a recent term coined to describe political activism organized through blogs and other online media, including wikis and social network services. The word is a portmanteau of Internet and grassroots, reflecting the technological innovations that supposedly set netroots techiques apart from other forms of political participation. In the United States, the term is used mainly in left-wing circles.[1] And this too is odd, since she is one of the most hated figures in American politics. During the 1990s she embodied everything that conservatives hate about female professionals: a bossy harridan who disparaged stay-at-home mothers, tried to reorganise the health-care system that makes up one-seventh of the American economy, and stayed with her tom-catting husband to further her political ambitions. Conservative conferences regularly feature loo-paper with Hillary's face on it and Hillary trolls to throw balls at. CafePress, a web retailer, is selling more than 100,000 anti-Hillary items, including a “Hillary is the Devil” beer stein. But Hillary-hatred is by no means confined to the right. David Geffen, a Hollywood mogul, gave voice to a widespread feeling on the left when he complained about the Clintons' relationship with truth. “Everybody in politics lies,” he told the New York Times. “But they do it with such ease, it's troubling.” Mrs Clinton has some of the highest negatives of any politician in the business. And yet here she is, with her husband, looking likely to break all sorts of records. If she wins, Mrs Clinton will be the first female president of the United States—a banner headline in itself—and Mr Clinton will be the first male first spouse. She will be the first president married to a former president. She will also be the first president who is married to a former president who was impeached for having oral sex with an intern in the Oval Office. This raises all sorts of intriguing questions. How will the first couple be addressed? Mrs and Mr President? Mrs President and Mr Clinton? What will people call Mr Clinton? (He says that his Scottish friends have suggested “first laddie”.) And, more important, what will Mrs Clinton do with her husband? Back in 1992, the Clintons campaigned on the slogan “Buy one, get one free”. But Mrs Clinton's presidency will be doomed if she allows herself to be overshadowed by her more experienced and more charismatic spouse. Not for the first time, Mr Clinton is likely to be both her biggest asset and her biggest liability. |
|
TOP |




"Inside the Beltway" is a 




